Hurley Pro Trestles: Nick Carroll’s Picks

Hurley Pro Trestles: Nick Carroll’s Picks 2015

Nick's picks

Nick’s picks

Nick Carroll gives his pundit review of the Hurley Pro Trestles in SoCal, the eighth stop on the WSL Championship Tour.

TITLE RACERS: ADS, Toledo, Mick, Owen, Julian
OTHERS CALLS: Medina, Kerr, Italo, JJF, Jadson, Keanu, Kolohe

Well, whoopeee, it’s Lowers! The wave talked down by the local crew as “Slowers” provides a kind of re-set for the world tour after all the Pacific reef break hijinks. Groomed and playful, with its farcically easy lip area and surprising down-the-line speed, this is the Snapper Rocks of the back third of the year –a place to nail down your top 10 shot, to aggravate a small injury, and to blow your sponsor’s mind with some high tech brilliance. For a couple of surfers in both boys and girls camps, it looms as a potential world title deal-maker.

– Nick Carroll -more-

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Billabong Pro Tahiti: Nick Carroll’s Picks

Billabong Pro Tahiti: Nick Carroll’s Picks 2015

Billabong Pro Tahiti: Nick Carroll's Picks 2015

Nick’s picks

Nick Carroll gives his pundit review of the Billabong Pro Tahiti at Teahupo’o, the seventh stop on the WSL Championship Tour.

NEAR CERTAINTIES: Julian, Owen, JJF, Flores
PRETTY GOOD BETS: Nat, Wiggolly, Medina, Ace, Bede, Wilko
POINT PROVERS: Toledo, ADS, Bourez, Kolohe
UNKNOWABLES: Slater, Mick, Wildcards

Last year, Teahupoo went off its rocker and virtually decided the world championship via Gabriel Medina’s very coolly assembled win. It was surely the highlight event of 2014. This year, things will almost certainly be a bit trickier. The surfers are coming to Tahiti having experienced a terrifying and dramatic end to the last event at Jeffreys, at least five of ‘em are in the title hunt, and the oceanic outlook isn’t showing off any 12-foot days in the near future.

– Nick Carroll -more-

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J-Bay Open: Nick Carroll’s Picks

J-Bay Open: Nick Carroll’s Picks 2015

Nick's picks

Nick’s picks

Nick Carroll gives his pundit review of the J-Bay Open in South Africa, the sixth stop on the WSL Championship Tour.

SPEED: Parko, Jordy, Slater, Mick, Bede, Melling, ADS, Toledo, Keanu
WEIGHT: Parko, Jordy, Slater, Mick, Owen, Julian, Bede, Ace, Ricardo, Dane, ADS
VISION: Toledo, Wilko, Jordy, Italo, Kolohe, Julian, Freddy-P
PRIORITY: ADS, Mick, Slater, Owen

OK here comes the most testing event of 2015. Jeffreys Bay, we sense, is about to put the top 34 through the goddam wringer.

– Nick Carroll -more-

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Fiji Pro: Nick Carroll’s Picks

Fiji Pro: Nick Carroll’s Picks 2015

Nick's picks

Nick’s picks

Nick Carroll gives his pundit review of the Fiji Pro, the fifth stop on the WSL Championship Tour.

Momentum: Toledo, Wilko, Bede, Jadson, Ricardo
Experience: Mick, ADS, Parko, Flores, Medina
Experience++: Slater
Frothing: Pupo, Jadson, CJ, Seabass, Otton, Jay Davies
Likes: Kerr, Owen, Nat

Cloudbreak is probably the best WCT wave in the world, not as gladiatorial as Pipe maybe, or as fearsome as large Teahupo’o, but more open to a wide range of surfing styles; everyone’s got a shot, and many heats will come down to the fall of the set waves through priority. Armchair experts will be muttering about how the big older power guys will be putting it to the light-footed kids but we suspect it may turn out a bit more complex than that.

Who will? Like we said, anyone’s in with a shot. A great board or two may turn things. So might momentum. So might experience. So might froth.

– Nick Carroll -more-

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Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach: Nick Carroll’s Preview

Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach: Nick Carroll’s Preview 2015

Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach: Nick Carroll's Preview 2015

Nick Carroll’s preview

Nick Carroll takes a look at the veterans, the rookies and who to keep an eye on at Bells.

Favourites: Toledo, Mick, Julian, Medina
Don’t miss: Jordy, JJF, Slater, Wilko
Potentially lethal: Owen, Pupo, Parko, ADS, Kolohe, Taj
Dark horses: Italo, Nat, Wiggolly

It’s been three years since someone won back to back CTs (guess who…yep, Kelly, in 2012), and while multiple winners during a year aren’t uncommon, double-ups are–probably because to pull it these days, you’ve gotta win too many heats running. Regardless, we reckon Filipe’s as good a chance as anyone, given his scorching form and the nature of the surf forecast. You need to be super psyched to win a small Bells, and he is. Julian got very close to the Bell last year and has a better grip on the winning formula this year. Fanning is in excellent form with an excellent quiver and many years of succeeding here; while he is vulnerable to a hyperactive air master or backside spray-thrower, he’s still a good bet in a town where he feels so at home. And Gabriel, hell, he is Gabriel. Chances of him blowing another event entry the way he did at Snapper, we reckon, might be as close to zero as it gets.

– Nick Carroll -more-

Quiksilver Pro Gold Coast: Nick Carroll’s Preview

Quiksilver Pro Gold Coast: Nick Carroll’s Preview 2015

Quiksilver Pro Gold Coast: Nick Carroll's Preview 2014

Nick Carroll’s preview

Nick Carroll takes a look at the veterans, the rookies and who to keep an eye on at Snapper.

Parko (6), Kolohe (11), Owen (12), Julian (14) and Filipe (17) all seem like they’re currently seeded a tiny bit below their potential at this event. If they get to round three’s re-seeding, they’ll probably pull guys well within their range. Simpo, CJ and Micro are at the other end and will instantly draw some hot shot or other. This stuff tends to work itself out during a WCT year but it throws a curve into the Quik Pro every time, this year perhaps more than most.

Personally, aside from the above, I’m gonna be watching the surprise package guys: Ricardo Christie, Matt Banting, Filipe, and Keanu Asing. Christie has one of the best power surfing styles to come along in years, Banting’s relaxed enough to get past the rookie nerves, Keanu’s a muscly little fella and Filipe might build a world title run base in 2015. And I’m gonna watch Kelly and Mick because how can you not.

– Nick Carroll -more-

Hurley Pro Trestles Pundit Picks Nick Carroll

Hurley Pro Trestles Pundit Picks Nick Carroll 2014

Hurley Pro Trestles Pundit Picks Nick Carroll 2014

Nick Carroll’s break down

Surfing Life’s pundit Nick Carroll breaks the field down into four categories:

FAVOURED: Medina, Kolohe, Taj, Slater
DEADLY: Kerr, Toledo, Bede, JJF
NEEDS IT: Jadson, Julian, Jordy
COULD BE: Crews, Pupo, ADS, Owen

We thought Teahupo’o would be 2014’s circuit breaker. It did a hell of a lot more than that. In just a few hours of vast exploding barrels, it pretty much reorganised the tour’s power structure. If we see a better event this decade, much less this year, we’ll be bloody lucky. But meanwhile, we now turn to Lowers, and if we can shake off the Chopesover, we’ll be in for what SL suspects will be a vastly entertaining contest.

– Nick Carroll -more-

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Hurley Pro Trestles Pundit Picks: The Blind Team

Hurley Pro Trestles Pundit Picks: The Blind Team 2014

Hurley Pro Trestles Pundit Picks: The Blind Team 2014

Surfer Stats

Shea Lopez, Derek Rielly, Nick Carroll, Ross Williams, Groundswell and the other pundits offer great insight into the surfers when offering their pundit picks. We do it differently. For our Fantasy Surfer pundit picks, we look at the numbers and not the surfers’ names. We go in blind. For Trestles, the Blind Team is picked based on past results in performance waves (vs barreling or power waves). For our personal club teams, we pick based on our guts and who we think are in form, but for these picks below, we remove all of the mind games. Here you go. Take it for what it’s worth. The Hurley Pro Trestles Pundit Picks: The Blind Team.

Team Trestles Avg pts (performance waves*)
Michel Bourez $9,000,000 132
Jordy Smith $8,000,000 129
Adriano De Souza $8,750,000 126
Filipe Toledo $4,000,000 108
Julian Wilson $6,750,000 102
Sebastian Zietz $5,000,000 99
John John Florence $6,750,000 98
wildcard $1,500,000 50
Total: $49,750,000 843
*Performance waves: Margaret River 2014, Rio 2012-2014, Steamer Lane 2013, Trestles 2012/2013, France 2013, Snapper 2012
Past results wave type FS Points FS Rank
Team Teahupo’o barrels 822 #11,818
Team J-Bay power 843 #1,559
Team Fiji barrels 600 #26,727
Team Rio performance 837 #1,044
Team Bells power 710 #17,472
Team Margs performance 840 #1,033

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