ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Red Bull Cheat Sheet

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Red Bull Cheat Sheet 2014

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Red Bull Cheat Sheet

Red Bull Cheat Sheet

Derek Rielly and Chris Binns give their predictions and picks for the 2014 contest at J-Bay.

Until this year, turtle-eyed Filipe’s surfing resembled a wounded marine trying to attract the attention of a helicopter. But what was he, 15? 16? Now Filipe saturates our little computer screens with the most torrid turns you might ever imagine, attacking the collapsing lip from ingenious angles. In the absence of any real swell at J-Bay this year, and not that Filipe necessarily needs it to be small anymore but it does amplify his advantage, Filipe will win, and he will win by a discomfiting margin.
– Derek Rielly -more-

Perhaps Taj Burrow not winning any events so far is the reason for his unusually consistent levels of consistency, and could see him closer to a title come year’s end than ever before. Or perhaps we just jinxed him, and he’ll win J-Bay then tank the next couple en route to his usual streaky top five finish.
– Chris Binns -more-

Dylan Lightfoot: The Jeffreys Bay teenage wildcard

Dylan Lightfoot: The Jeffreys Bay teenage wildcard 2014

Dylan Lightfoot: The Jeffreys Bay teenage wildcard 2014

Derek Rielly introduces Dylan Lightfoot

Derek Rielly introduces the J-Bay young gun with the ASP Tour big names, Kelly, Michel and Gabriel, in his sights.

I’ve thought about it and it’s going to be variation that wins heats. Don’t go for the same carve, the same cutty. Do a layback and vary up the carves. It’s always good to see guys drawing unpredictable lines. It’s what makes Sean Holmes so dangerous out there. His success out there is a big inspiration to me.

– Dylan Lightfoot -more-

How a Backsider Can Win at J-Bay

How a Backsider Can Win at J-Bay

How a Backsider Can Win at J-Bay

Backsiders at J-Bay

Derek Rielly gets some quotes from Mark Occhilupo–the only goofy winner ever at J-Bay–on what J-Bay is like for backhanders.

You’re racing the whole time and it’s hard to get a snap in. And the barrel naturally suits the frontsiders because it’s a high and not a particularly hollow barrel. J-Bay is easier to surf on your backhand when it’s bigger because it moves off the point. Big and low tide and it’s absolutely one of the best waves in the world and it gives you room for big hacks.

– Mark Occhilupo -more-

ASP Fiji Pro Red Bull Power Rankings Derek Rielly

ASP Fiji Pro Red Bull Power Rankings Derek Rielly 2014

ASP Fiji Pro Red Bull Power Rankings Derek Rielly 2014

Derek Rielly’s Power Rankings

Derek Rielly ranks and analyzes the field coming out of the ASP Fiji Pro as we head into the 2014 ASP J-Bay Open.

Gabriel “Bunny” Medina tore the pro surfing universe in half this week just past, employing such physical resources it was like a man overdrawing at the bank. It’s a measure of how upside-down the world has become when it was only the middle-aged Hawaiian Fred Pattachia who threatened a heat win against the 20-and-a-half year old. This is a surfer who will never have to atone for a lack of confidence or humility. Anyhow, he’s marvellous.

– Derek Rielly -more-

ASP Fiji Pro 10 Lessons From Derek Rielly

ASP Fiji Pro 10 Lessons From Derek Rielly 2014

ASP Fiji Pro 10 Lessons From Derek Rielly 2014

10 Lessons from Derek Rielly

Derek Rielly gives us 10 lessons learned from the ASP Fiji Pro.

But for a hiccup in Brazil, Gabriel would have three in the bag. As it is, he’s 2000 points clear. And he will win three more events. Fiji was second gear for Brazil’s first-ever surfing world champ.

This is the Kolohe we were promised two years ago.

Under six feet and even the perfection of Joel, Mick and Kelly ain’t enough to swing a heat from the hungriest of South American or Californian teens. The difficulty for our three favourite veterans is, how do they compete with Gabriel, Filipe, Nat and Kolohe now that all have hit their richest vein of form?

Filipe Toledo has the ability to humiliate very single surfer in any sub-six-foot conditions, Gabriel and John John excepted. This year will become his practice run. Next year gets real.

It’s a fact. Margaret River ain’t world-class. Even the crummiest of Cloudbreak made it look sub-par.

John John just ain’t interested. At least not when it comes down to letting your eyes bulge and your dignity disappear. John John will never sacrifice steeze for a heat win. And he will entertain, as did Dane, but it won’t last forever.

The mystery of Julian Wilson. As good as Gabriel or any of the vets. But only scratching into the top 16, and that’s with four second-lasts. It’s as mysterious as the fabled disappearance of Malaysian flight MH370.

– Derek Rielly -more-

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Picks: The Blind Team

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Picks: The Blind Team 2014

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Picks: The Blind Team 2014

Average FS Points by Wave Type

Shea Lopez, Derek Rielly, Nick Carroll, Ross Williams, Groundswell and the other pundits offer great insight into the surfers when offering their pundit picks. We do it differently. For our Fantasy Surfer pundit picks, we look at the numbers and not the surfers’ names. We go in blind. For J-Bay, the Blind Team is picked based on past results in power waves (vs barrels or performance). For our personal club teams, we pick based on our guts and who we think are in form, but for these picks below, we remove all of the mind games. Here you go. The ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Picks: The Blind Team.

Team J-Bay Avg pts (power waves*)
Mick Fanning $11,250,000 147
Adriano De Souza $9,500,000 120
Josh Kerr $8,000,000 111
Bede Durbidge $5,750,000 94
CJ Hobgood $5,500,000 94
Miguel Pupo $4,750,000 86
Owen Wright $3,250,000 84
wildcard $1,500,000 50
Total: $49,500,000 785
*Power waves: Snapper 2013/2014, Bells 2012/2013/2014, Margaret River 2014
Past results wave type FS Points FS Rank
Fiji barrels 600 #26,727
Rio performance 837 #1,044
Bells Beach power 710 #17,472
Margaret River performance 840 #1,033

Check out all of our pundit picks posts.

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Red Bull Cheat Sheet

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Red Bull Cheat Sheet 2014

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Red Bull Cheat Sheet 2014

Red Bull Cheat Sheet

Chris Binns, Travis Ferré and Derek Rielly give their predictions and picks for the 2014 contest in Fiji.

Kelly will win the Fiji Pro for the third year in a row, and his number one ranking will go from surprising-given-average-form to downright formidable. In his veteran years the sport’s greatest needs pristine conditions to elevate his game, and Cloudbreak is where the Slater juggernaut will work its way through the higher gears and get rolling. Or, the surf will suck and he’ll flop, but that’s doubtful at best.
– Chris Binns -more-

It’s really hard to do this. But it’s a new year. Kelly doesn’t sport a mountain wave sticker. John John is rated 15th or something. And Michel Bourez is on a tear. What fun! I’m going to go out on a limb here, because let’s be honest, I don’t have anything to lose: I’m picking Owen Wright. Why? It’s just one of those years. Unpredictably predictable.
– Travis Ferré -more-

I will have to make it clear that this year is a fairy tale. After the briefest of stumbles Gabriel will win Fiji, possibly Tahiti, probably Trestles, at least one event in Europe and will round out the year with a Pipe Masters and the biggest WT margin in the history of man. Fiji is the starting line.
– Derek Rielly -more-

Billabong Rio Pro Red Bull Power Rankings Derek Rielly

Billabong Rio Pro Red Bull Power Rankings Derek Rielly

Billabong Rio Pro Red Bull Power Rankings Derek Rielly

Derek Rielly’s Power Rankings

Derek Rielly ranks and analyzes the field coming out of the Billabong Rio Pro as we head into the 2014 ASP Fiji Pro.

If you’ve ever seen Taj Burrow train this year you’ll marvel at what a man-who-has-everything will do to himself for a bite of that elusive carrot. All those burpees and crunches and running and swimming haven’t just sharpened Taj, they’ve created a software update that, while prone to the usual glitches, knows how to win better than ever. Thirty-six? Second oldest cat on tour? Words, just words.

– Derek Rielly -more-

Red Bull Power Rankings Post Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach

Red Bull Power Rankings Post Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach

Red Bull Power Rankings Post Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach

Red Bull Power Rankings

Derek Rielly gives us a review of his top 10 surfers coming out of Bells.

Taj hates to lose a final, hates to lose to Mick Fanning and especially hates to lose needing a piddly seven. Slimmer than he’s ever been and stronger than the Empire State Building, Taj makes his other competitors look like they’re riding with drogues. And yet that face, so forcibly contorted into a smile on the presentation stage when all he wanted to do was give out a maniacal banshee cry.

Owen’s mouth is again filled with the salty taste of blood, pummelling with such fury he turns wave into hamburger. Welcome back!

-more-

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