ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Shea Lopez Picks

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Shea Lopez Picks 2014

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Shea Lopez Picks 2014

Shea Lopez’ picks

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Shea Lopez picks his team foor the 2014 contest at Cloudbreak and/or Restaurants.

For this year’s event, with little in the way of storm energy on the charts, we will likely be seeing average waves at Cloudbreak to start the waiting period. But there is still potential for something of merit to develop late.

When picking my Fantasy Surfer team for Fiji, I added a number of goofyfooters. From past experience, myself and every other goofy-footer on Tour would be licking our chops in anticipation of this event. The main advantage to being goofy at Cloudbreak is the ease at which you can narrowly escape through the doggy door exits at the end of the reef at a section called Shishkabobs.

– Shea Lopez -more-

Avg pts (barrels*)
Kelly Slater $12,500,000 143
John John Florence $6,750,000 129
Gabriel Medina $8,250,000 102
Owen Wright $3,750,000 112
Ace Buchan $5,000,000 86
CJ Hobgood $6,500,000 113
Fred Patacchia $4,750,000 84
Matt Wilkinson $3,500,000 59
Total: $51,000,000 828
*Barrels: Pipe 2012/2103, Tahiti 2012/2013, Bali 2013, Fiji 2012/2013, Portugal 2012/2013, France 2012

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Ross Williams

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Ross Williams 2014

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Ross Williams 2014

Ross Williams’ picks

Ross Williams gives his start ’em, sit ’em list for the 2014 ASP Fiji Pro.

More than almost any other location on tour, the Fiji Pro is where the veterans will take advantage of the kids that are a little wet behind the ears. Gone are the luxuries of air sections and potluck wave catching, Cloudbreak and Restaurants are all about experience and the hunger for getting deep. I’m thinking most of you know whom to avoid here, but it’s the sly choices that should help push you ahead of the pack. I agree you should always back up your crafty pick with the obvious ones. Not choosing Kelly here is like not choosing the Lakers to beat the Clippers… Wait, bad example.

– Ross Williams -more-

ASP Fiji Pro Preview Nick Carroll

ASP Fiji Pro Preview Nick Carroll 2014

ASP Fiji Pro Preview Nick Carroll 2014

Nick Carroll’s preview

Nick Carroll gives an early preview of the forecast, the judging criteria, and who to might catch the biggest fish.

The boys face a slow start to their waiting period with a deflation in the storm energies beneath Australia. Small fingers of swell will reach up out of the Roaring Forties in the early part of June but whether any of ‘em eventuate in a surfable day is hard to say. Something stronger is on the distant forecast, arriving from the SSW around June 6, but it may be disrupted by storm action close to the Australian east coast. A lot of guesswork in this part of the forecast but the waiting period is long and the opportunities will come, though perhaps not in the vein of recent years. Like, nobody’s gonna be needing their 9’0”quad.

In the men’s, this event has been dominated by Kelly for a while but we’re going out on a limb and suggesting that 2014 might change things. Big Cloudbreak and super hollow Restaurants don’t look like they’ll be on the menu, at least not as frequently as in recent years, and there’s plenty of surfers who can match it with the king in non-surreal Fijian surf. We’re calling a close eye on Gabriel Medina, Nat Young, and Taj, with JJF, Sebastian Zietz, CJ Hobgood and Owen Wright potentially in the mix by the quarters. That of course aside from the big guns and Michel Bourez, who has a record of going hot and cold but who also has never won two out of four WCT events before. Wilko is our outside pick for a good result in Fiji; he has everything to surf for and nothing to lose.

– Nick Carroll -more-

Billabong Rio Pro Red Bull Power Rankings Derek Rielly

Billabong Rio Pro Red Bull Power Rankings Derek Rielly

Billabong Rio Pro Red Bull Power Rankings Derek Rielly

Derek Rielly’s Power Rankings

Derek Rielly ranks and analyzes the field coming out of the Billabong Rio Pro as we head into the 2014 ASP Fiji Pro.

If you’ve ever seen Taj Burrow train this year you’ll marvel at what a man-who-has-everything will do to himself for a bite of that elusive carrot. All those burpees and crunches and running and swimming haven’t just sharpened Taj, they’ve created a software update that, while prone to the usual glitches, knows how to win better than ever. Thirty-six? Second oldest cat on tour? Words, just words.

– Derek Rielly -more-

Billabong Rio Pro Surfline Power Rankings Jed Smith

Billabong Rio Pro Surfline Power Rankings Jed Smith 2014

Billabong Rio Pro Surfline Power Rankings Jed Smith 2014

Jed Smith’s Power Rankings

Jed Smith ranks and analyzes the field coming out of the Billabong Rio Pro as we head into the 2014 ASP Fiji Pro.

There might have been a few complaints about the quality of waves on offer for the Billabong Rio Pro – Parko called it “potluck,” Josh Kerr said they didn’t offer “equal opportunity” to competitors – but it looked pretty entertaining to me. From barrels ripped straight out of the Off The Wall Greatest Hits handbook, to ramp sections and rippable runners, the Billabong Rio Pro was a classic beach break event. It was testing, tense, volatile, had some 1980s gamesmanship thrown in for good measure, a few huge upsets and more than a couple freakish feats of athletic brilliance. The big winners were Michel Bourez, Kolohe Andino and Kelly Slater but ultimately it was surf fans who walked away with a treat. This year is shaping up as a World Title race to end all others.

– Jed Smith -more-

ASP Fiji Pro Past Winners 2003-2013

ASP Fiji Pro Past Winners 2014

ASP Fiji Pro Past Winners 2014The scrappy beach break of Rio is over. Now we can get on with it! Think Slater will make many Fantasy Surfer teams?

Winner Runner-up
2013 Kelly Slater Mick Fanning
2012 Kelly Slater Gabriel Medina
2008 Kelly Slater CJ Hobgood
2006 Damien Hobgood Shaun Cansdell
2005 Kelly Slater CJ Hobgood
2004 Damien Hobgood Andy Irons
2003 Andy Irons Corey Lopez

Fantasy Surfer Points May 2014

Fantasy Surfer Points May 2014

Kelly is currently the number one seed and is leading title race, but Taj is on top when it comes to the all-important Fantasy Surfer points. Here are the average points each surfer has scored over the first four events of 2014.

141 Taj Burrow 92 Kolohe Andino 66 Travis Logie
138 Kelly Slater 89 John John Florence 63 Dion Atkinson
133 Joel Parkinson 85 Miguel Pupo 61 Aritz Aranburu
130 Michel Bourez 84 Owen Wright 51 Jeremy Flores
129 Gabriel Medina 83 Sebastian Zietz 50 Matt Wilkinson
120 Adriano De Souza 81 CJ Hobgood 43 Brett Simpson
116 Josh Kerr 76 Filipe Toledo 43 Raoni Monteiro
112 Mick Fanning 74 Mitch Crews 67 Kai Otton*
109 Nat Young 73 Adam Melling 66 Tiago Pires*
102 Bede Durbidge 73 Fred Patacchia 63 Glenn Hall*
101 Jordy Smith 71 Jadson Andre 61 Alejo Muniz*
101 Julian Wilson 71 Adrian Buchan 54 wildcards
*only competed in 2 or 3 of the 4 events

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Groundswell

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Groundswell 2014

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Groundswell 2014

Groundswell’s detailed write-up

Groundswell, the Fantasy Surfer forum moderator, lays down his ASP Fiji Pro pundit picks. For his detailed write-ups, check out his forum post.

HOT (no surprises here):
Kelly Slater, Joel Parkinson, CJ Hobgood

WARM (almost a lock to end up on your teams):
Mick Fanning, Gabriel Medina, Jordy Smith

COOL (you may win or lose the event with these guys):
Michel Bourez, Owen Wright, Glenn Hall

COLD (if these surfers do well, it would REALLY surprise me):
Brett Simpson, Alejo Muniz, Adrian Buchan

– Groundswell -more-

Check out all of our pundit picks posts.

ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Picks: The Blind Team

2014 ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Picks The Blind Team

2014 ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Picks The Blind Team

Surfer Stats

updated May 15 – Shea Lopez, Derek Rielly, Nick Carroll, Ross Williams, Groundswell and the other pundits offer great insight into the surfers when offering their pundit picks. We do it differently. For our Fantasy Surfer pundit picks, we look at the numbers and not the surfers’ names. We go in blind. For Fiji, we picked our team based on past results in barreling waves (vs power or performance). For our personal club teams, we pick based on our guts and who we think are in form, but for these picks below, we remove all of the mind games. Here you go. ASP Fiji Pro Pundit Picks: The Blind Team.

Team Fiji Avg pts (barreling waves*)
Joel Parkinson $11,500,000 151
Josh Kerr $9,000,000 117
John John Florence $6,750,000 130
CJ Hobgood $6,500,000 126
Sebastian Zietz $5,500,000 93
Jeremy Flores $3,750,000 96
Owen Wright $3,250,000 111
Matt Wilkinson $3,500,000 58
Total: $49,750,000 881
*Barrels: Pipe 2012/2103, Tahiti 2012/2013, Bali 2013, Fiji 2012/2013
Past results wave type FS Points FS Rank
Rio performance 837 #1,044
Bells Beach power 710 #17,472
Margaret River performance 840 #1,033

Check out all of our pundit picks posts.

ASP Fiji Pro Heat Draw Seedings

ASP Fiji Pro Heat Draw Seedings 2014

ASP Fiji Pro Heat Draw Seedings 2014

ASP Fiji Pro Heat Draws

Here are the seedings and R1 heat draws (row=heat) heading in to the 2014 ASP Fiji Pro:

updated May 29
1. Kelly Slater 24. Jeremy Flores 36. Isei Tokovu
2. Joel Parkinson 23. Mitch Crews 35. Wiggolly Dantas
3. Taj Burrow 22. Adrian Buchan 34. Mitch Coleborn
4. Mick Fanning 21. Fred Patacchia 33. Glenn Hall
5. Michel Bourez 20. Filipe Toledo 32. Brett Simpson
6. Adriano De Souza 19. Kai Otton 31. Tiago Pires
7. Gabriel Medina 18. Kolohe Andino 30. Dion Atkinson
8. Josh Kerr 17. Sebastian Zietz 29. Alejo Muniz
9. Jordy Smith 16. Miguel Pupo 28. Artiz Aranburu
10. Nat Young 15. Owen Wright 27. Matt Wilkinson
11. Julian Wilson 14. Bede Durbidge 26. Jadson Andre
12. John John Florence 13. CJ Hobgood 25. Travis Logie