Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R3 Recap

ASP Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R3 Recap 2014

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R3 Recap

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R3 Recap

If you missed Round 3, check out the ASP Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R3 Recap.

I’m happy to get another chance, but when you win and you’re frustrated, you don’t feel like you’ve set any benchmark or standard for the event. A couple heats before mine, JJF and Gabriel, they both surfed so well in this contest and they slated each other twice. They had to put each other out in this last one, and it’s a shame because they’re the two standouts. It’s a bummer.
– Kelly Slater

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R2 Highlight Video

ASP Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R2 Highlight Video 2014

ASP Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R2 Highlight Video 2014

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R2 Highlight Video

Miss Round 2? Check out the Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R2 Highlight Video …including John John’s 9.83.

The only performance of any note today was John John, who flawlessly linked together a 9.8, before weightlessly wafting one of the most beautiful airs we’ve ever seen on the next wave. We’ve always said that round two is all about the losers – round three wins are what really matters – but John John’s win was just a cut above.
– Wade Davis, Surfing Life

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R1 Highlights

ASP Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R1 Highlights 2014

ASP Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R1 Highlights 2014Jordy Smith – looking strong on this 8.33.

Adam Melling – surfing with a torn MCL, forces Parko into R2 with this little gem that scores him a 7.67.

Slater vs Yadin – The local wildcard winner put in a great heat to force Slater into R2. Here, Slater shows us what a missed air attempt looks like quickly followed by Yadin’s heat-winning 8.23.

I feel bad beating Kelly, considering that he doesn’t have a sponsor. – Yadin Nicol

Julian Wilson – forces Flores into R2 with help from this 7.50.

Miguel Pupo – not a huge scoring wave here (6.50), but shows Pupo looking as smooth as ever.

Jadson Andre – upsets both Adriano and Owen with waves like this 7.17.

…and our favorite heat of the day: Medina vs JJF

Gabriel Medina – takes the heat win and to the air with this 8.90 (overscored? …we think so…got a bit stuck there).

I saw John start to do airs, and thought, I have to do the same…
When I see him, I want to beat him. – Gabriel Medina

John John Florence – making something out of nothing on this 7.67.

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Picks: By The Numbers

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Picks: By The Numbers

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Picks: By The Numbers

Surfer Stats

[Original post: March 30] This year, we’re going to run an experiment where we pick the aspwedge Fantasy Surfer team based on past results. For our club teams, we make our picks using our guts and the biases that come along with that. But for these posts, we’re picking without looking at the surfers’ names. Instead, we’re using the numbers that generate the graphs on the Surfers page. We’ve “typed” each wave barrel, performance or power (see below) and will fill the aspwedge team with the surfers who have averaged the highest on that type of wave over the past two seasons (plus this season so far). We’ll try to maximize the overall average for the amount of money we have leaving $1,500,000 for a wildcard. For the Drug Aware Margaret River Pro, we’re typing it as a “power wave”. With that, here is the aspwedge “by the numbers” team:

[UPDATE: April 1] With the forecast calling for smaller waves, we’re switching to typing Margs as a “performance wave” and have adjusted our team accordingly.

New team (based on performance wave results):

Avg pts
Taj Burrow $10,500,000 147
Jordy Smith $9,500,000 130
Adriano De Souza $8,250,000 133
Michel Bourez $7,250,000 113
Filipe Toledo $6,000,000 118
Travis Logie $3,250,000 92
Owen Wright $3,250,000 82
Yadin Nicol $1,500,000 66
Total: $49,500,000 881

Old team (based on power wave results):

Avg pts
Kelly Slater $11,750,000 145
Joel Parkinson $11,750,000 145
Adriano De Souza $8,250,000 123
Jeremy Flores $5,750,000 102
Mitch Crews $4,500,000 100
Dion Atkinson $3,250,000 83
Owen Wright $3,250,000 73
Yadin Nicol $1,500,000 66
Total: $50,000,000 837

Wave types…
Barrels: Pipe 2012/2103, Portugal 2012/2013, France 2012, Tahiti 2012/2013, Bali 2013, Fiji 2012/2013
Performance: Steamer Lane 2013, France 2013, Trestles 2012/2013, Rio 2012/2013, Snapper 2012
Power: Snapper 2013/2014, Bells 2012/2013

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro: Wildcards and Last Minute Picks

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Wildcards and Last Minute Picks

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Wildcards

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro R1 Heat Draw

For those of you looking to make last minute changes to your Fantasy Surfer teams, here are some updates:

  • Tiago Pires is out with a recurring knee injury.
  • Mitch Coleborn is taking Tiago’s spot.
  • Nathan Hedge won the trials and will get the first wildcard spot.
  • Yadin Nicol was runner-up at the trials and receives the second wildcard spot.

Former winners at the Margaret River Pro (non-World Tour event) surfing this year:

  • John John Florence (2012)
  • Josh Kerr (2010)
  • Joel Parkinson (2002)
  • Mick Fanning (2001)
  • Taj Burrow (1997)

Forecast for this year: It ain’t going to be a classic year. Four-ish foot to start the event and two-to-three for the remainder unless a surprise low off the coast kicks into gear very soon. A contest for the jibbers. -more-
– Derek Rielly, Red Bull

In with Toledo? Out with CJ? Check out the chart at the bottom of the Surfers page to see the difference in past results in power vs performance waves. Check out Bourez!

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Story Lines

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Story Lines

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Story LinesAs the Drug Aware Margaret River Pro is set to begin in the next few days, there a number of story lines we’ll be keeping a close eye on:

  • After getting bounced early at Snapper, Jordy and JJF should be surfing with something to prove. Poor results here will seriously hurt both of these top 5 contenders’ shots for legitimate World Title runs. Let’s hope we see them perform to their highest levels.
  • Shea Lopez used the term “the wrath of Slater” to explain how Slater might react after getting beat by Adriano for the 5th time in a row. Slater did looked rattled in his post-heat interview. Will he come out swinging at Margs?
  • Taj is showing up as the hometown hero and event favorite (as highlighted in 21 Days). Will he put on a strong showing, or will he choke?
  • Medina is going to come out to show that Snapper wasn’t a fluke and that he is the real deal. Will he strengthen his claim on being a World Title contender?
  • Jeremy Flores was PISSED with Adriano and the whole interference drama. How will he react coming into Margs? How much would we love to see an Adriano/Flores rematch? …a lot.
  • The rookies: There are lots of eyes on Dion Atkinson for this event. He’s a power surfer raised on the cold, sharky slabs of southern Australia. If Margs gets some swell, he’ll be well suited to make a run. And Mitch Crews showed his high performance capabilities surprising many (especially Julian Wilson) with his strong result at Snapper. Both will be aiming to back up their results to avoid getting trapped in the lower seeds for the remainder of the year (and we know how valuable that was for Nat last year).
  • Miguel Pupo: shaped from the same mold as Gerry Lopez? His style had everyone buzzing at Snapper and he pulled right through to the Quarterfinals losing only to Parko who owned the break right up to the last minute of the finals. Will Miguel make the jump to next level this year? Many think yes.
  • (added) Will we see Kelly Slater ride without the Quiksilver logo on his Al Merrick for the first time in 23 years ? -more-

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Pundit Shea Lopez

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Pundit Shea Lopez ASP 2014

ASP Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Pundit Shea Lopez

Shea Lopez’ picks for Margaret River

Shea Lopez makes his Fantasy Surfer picks for the 2014 ASP Drug Aware Margaret River Pro.

Experience is worth its weight in gold at Margaret River, and experience will determine who does well and who spends their heat getting caught inside, bouncing off the reef en route to a 36th-place finish. In this open-ocean locale, power surfing will seize the day. Think Occy and Luke Egan. If either of them were competing today, they would be the favorites. -more-
– Shea Lopez

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Pundit Picks Cheat Sheet

2014 ASP Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Pundit Picks Cheat Sheet

Drug Aware Margaret River Pro Pundit Picks Cheat Sheet

Red Bull Margaret River Cheat Sheet

Red Bull has put together a great list of pundit picks for the Drug Aware Margaret River Pro including from Derek Rielly, Travis Ferre, Marcus Sanders and Chris Binns.

Taj Burrow, almost 36 years old now, has spent his life in WA’s south-west thanks to American parents who took the old adage ‘go west’ to its most extreme geographical point. This year he’ll win and it will come more easily than he might believe possible, even with a slight shade of mockery.
– Derek Rielly, Stab magazine

Let’s go out on a limb. I’m honestly predicting Gabriel Medina to go back to back. He’s got it all figured out. All of it.
– Travis Ferre, What Youth

Jordy Smith. He’s there early with a big quiver up to 6ft 10in. He’s got very long arms. A solid rail. He’s motivated. As long as he can avoid the dreaded Marg’s interference off the peak, he’ll take it home to South Africa.
– Marcus Sanders, Surfline

Darkhorse? Artiz Aranburu slays big water. When Margarets looks like Sunset, Aritz will be gobbling golden boys en route to the podium. But ignore if the swell fails to front.
– Chris Binns, Ex-Editor of Surfing Life