ASP J-Bay Open Lessons Learned Day 3

ASP J-Bay Open Lessons Learned Day 3 2014

ASP J-Bay Open Lessons Learned Day 3

Five Lessons by Derek Rielly

Derek Rielly gives five lessons learned as many of the heavy hitters are eliminated from the J-Bay Open 2014.

Watching the 11-timer struggle so desperately to find some kinda form this year has been like finding a grey hair on your own head. You know it has to happen, but the shock is immeasurable; a mixture of hurt, fear and contempt for the ageing process. Switching between three and four fins doesn’t work for the most pitiful surfers, nor does it work for the greatest, apparently. To watch Slater bend at the waist as he lands out of the lip, as he wave his hands for balance and as he adopts a safety stance between turns is as ghastly as anything committed by the new rulers of the caliphate. On paper, Slater can still win the world title. He won’t.

– Derek Rielly -more-

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Red Bull Cheat Sheet

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Red Bull Cheat Sheet 2014

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Red Bull Cheat Sheet

Red Bull Cheat Sheet

Derek Rielly and Chris Binns give their predictions and picks for the 2014 contest at J-Bay.

Until this year, turtle-eyed Filipe’s surfing resembled a wounded marine trying to attract the attention of a helicopter. But what was he, 15? 16? Now Filipe saturates our little computer screens with the most torrid turns you might ever imagine, attacking the collapsing lip from ingenious angles. In the absence of any real swell at J-Bay this year, and not that Filipe necessarily needs it to be small anymore but it does amplify his advantage, Filipe will win, and he will win by a discomfiting margin.
– Derek Rielly -more-

Perhaps Taj Burrow not winning any events so far is the reason for his unusually consistent levels of consistency, and could see him closer to a title come year’s end than ever before. Or perhaps we just jinxed him, and he’ll win J-Bay then tank the next couple en route to his usual streaky top five finish.
– Chris Binns -more-

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Shea Lopez Picks

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Shea Lopez Picks 2014

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Shea Lopez Picks 2014

Shea Lopez’ picks

ASP J-Bay Pundit Shea Lopez picks his team for the 2014 contest at Jeffreys Bay.

As one of the more active phases in many years for the southern hemisphere winds down, this year’s J-Bay event appears to be just in time to receive what remains of the bounty. After an initial pulse, all eyes will be shifting to the tail end of the event’s waiting period in hopes for forecast charts to signal more of the astonishing quality J-Bay is known for.

When picking a Fantasy Surfer team, I assumed that most heats would be held in good surf.

– Shea Lopez -more-

Avg pts (power waves*)
Kelly Slater $12,250,000 143
Jordy Smith $9,500,000 106
John John Florence $7,250,000 90
Julian Wilson $8,250,000 94
Dion Atkinson $3,000,000 57
Owen Wright $4,250,000 84
Adam Melling $3,500,000 73
Jeremy Flores $4,000,000 82
Total: $52,000,000 728
*Power waves: Snapper 2013/2014, Bells 2012/2013/2014, Margaret River 2014

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Jimmicane Picks

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Jimmicane Picks 2014

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Jimmicane Picks 2014

Jimmicane’s picks

Surfing Magazine’s Jimmicane gives his picks for the 2014 ASP J-Bay Open.

Play with fire, you’re gonna get burned. Michel is a walking fireball right now. I’ve been caught on fire before. It was a hell on earth. I won’t play without him on my bench. Michel for World Champ! It’s official, I’m on the bandwagon.

I see that only 1% of teams have Nat Young starting. That’s bullshit. The kid is gonna go apeshit out there. I know it’s hard to pick him over Kelly, Mick, and the regulars, but come on. The kid is dangerous and eternally motivated.

The Elite: Michel Bourez, Kelly Slater, Nat Young
The Grinders: Jordy Smith, Julian Wilson, Kolohe Andino, Adam Melling, Owen Wright
The Strugglers and Wilds: Kai Otton, Dion Atkinson, Jeremy Flores

– Jimmicane -more-

Check out all of our pundit picks posts.

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Ross Williams

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Ross Williams 2014

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Ross Williams 2014

Ross Williams’ picks

Ross Williams gives his start ‘em, sit ‘em list for the 2014 ASP J-Bay Open.

Having Jeffreys Bay back on the schedule is as important as having Pipeline or Tahiti. J-Bay demands important elements of the art of surfing that help round out our World Champ. The famously long, clean walls at J-Bay allows surfers to orchestrate a series of big maneuvers — and hopefully deep bottom turns — like no other spot on the Tour.

This type of surfing reveals the perfect criteria of speed (technique), power (rail game), and flow which combines all these things seamlessly. Speed comes with proper use of these choreographed rides, but what really becomes apparent is who can look good doing it. So basically, pick guys that surf like Tom Curren for your ASP Fantasy Surfing Team.

Start ‘Em: Mick Fanning, Jordy Smith, Kai Otton
Sit ‘Em: Taj Burrow, Ace Buchan, Matt Wilkinson
Darkhorse: CJ Hobgood

– Ross Williams -more-

Check out all of our pundit picks posts.

Jordy Smith: From Bells to J-Bay

Jordy Smith From Bells to J-Bay 2014

Interview with Jordy Smith

Interview with Jordy Smith

Mimi LaMontagne talks with Jordy Smith about Bells, J-Bay and the year so far.

I feel like J-Bay suits my surfing, and I’m really looking forward to seeing that long wall in front of me, and then going at it as hard as I can. It’s going to be interesting this year after a few years’ break, and then adding in some new faces – it’s not the easiest wave to work out. Saying that, I think the more experienced guys will be tough – Taj, Kelly, Mick.

– Jordy Smith -more-

Dylan Lightfoot: The Jeffreys Bay teenage wildcard

Dylan Lightfoot: The Jeffreys Bay teenage wildcard 2014

Dylan Lightfoot: The Jeffreys Bay teenage wildcard 2014

Derek Rielly introduces Dylan Lightfoot

Derek Rielly introduces the J-Bay young gun with the ASP Tour big names, Kelly, Michel and Gabriel, in his sights.

I’ve thought about it and it’s going to be variation that wins heats. Don’t go for the same carve, the same cutty. Do a layback and vary up the carves. It’s always good to see guys drawing unpredictable lines. It’s what makes Sean Holmes so dangerous out there. His success out there is a big inspiration to me.

– Dylan Lightfoot -more-

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Groundswell

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Groundswell 2014

ASP J-Bay Open Pundit Groundswell 2014

Groundswell’s picks

Groundswell, the Fantasy Surfer forum moderator, lays down his ASP J-Bay Open pundit picks. For his detailed write-ups, check out his full forum post.

HOT: Mick Fanning, Kelly Slater, Michel Bourez

WARM: Jordy Smith, Kolohe Andino, Nat Young

COOL: Joel Parkinson, Adriano De Souza, John John Florence

COLD: Goofyfoots, Wildcards

– Groundswell -more-

Check out all of our pundit picks posts.

How a Backsider Can Win at J-Bay

How a Backsider Can Win at J-Bay

How a Backsider Can Win at J-Bay

Backsiders at J-Bay

Derek Rielly gets some quotes from Mark Occhilupo–the only goofy winner ever at J-Bay–on what J-Bay is like for backhanders.

You’re racing the whole time and it’s hard to get a snap in. And the barrel naturally suits the frontsiders because it’s a high and not a particularly hollow barrel. J-Bay is easier to surf on your backhand when it’s bigger because it moves off the point. Big and low tide and it’s absolutely one of the best waves in the world and it gives you room for big hacks.

– Mark Occhilupo -more-

ASP Fiji Pro Power Rankings by Ross Williams & Martin Potter

ASP Fiji Pro Power Rankings Ross Williams Martin Potter 2014

ASP Fiji Pro Power Rankings Ross Williams Martin Potter

Ross Williams & Martin Potter’s Power Rankings

Ross Williams & Martin Potter give their analysis of the field coming out of Fiji as we head into J-Bay.

There’s starting to become daylight between the younger guys and the usual suspects. The young guns are getting more experience and starting to work out the game and how to beat these older guys–’cause it takes a lot more than good surfing to win events. They’re also getting bigger and stronger and it’s starting to show.
– Martin Potter -more-

It’s actually pretty complex with the swell — or lack thereof — that really created these results in Fiji. That being said, Gabriel Medina is well rounded. You can see him winning here when it’s six- to eight-foot. And as our veterans get older and older, guess what? Guys like Gabriel are going to get 9s on closeouts. It’s only going to get harder from here on out, and slowly but surely we’re going to see different names winning world titles. That’s just the nature of it.
– Ross Williams -more-